WEBVTT

NOTE week12-clip1-trial
NOTE Narration read by an AI-generated voice.
NOTE The clip draws its own caption along the bottom of the frame. These cues
NOTE sit there too, so that no part of the animation is ever covered.

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A benchmark asks whether
the model can answer.

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A trial asks whether clinicians do better
with it. These are different questions,

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and only the second one decides
whether a tool helps patients.

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Goh and colleagues
randomized 50 physicians:

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25 to GPT-4 plus their usual resources,
and 25 to usual resources alone.

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Both groups worked up to
6 vignettes in 60 minutes,

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graded blind on a structured
reflection rubric.

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The median diagnostic reasoning score per

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case was 76% with GPT-4 and 74% without.

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The adjusted difference was 2%age points,

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with a 95% interval from minus
4 to 8 and a P value of 0.60.

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The interval includes zero.

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Nor was it faster.

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Physicians with the model took
519 seconds per case against 565,

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a difference of minus 82 seconds,

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with a 95% interval from minus 195 to 31.

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That interval includes zero too.

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In an exploratory arm of 3 runs, the
model alone scored a median of 92%,

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16 points above the control group.

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But the physicians who had
that same model scored 76.

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The gap is about how people use
the tool, not about the tool.

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Benchmark, retrospective study,
reader study, prospective trial,

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then deployment with monitoring.

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Each rung answers a question the one below
it cannot. This trial is the fourth rung,

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and most published
results stop at the first.
